Simulation bracket: Predicted NCAA tournament Cinderellas, sleepers and busts

The field of 68 is set. Bet Labs simulated the NCAA tournament 10,000 times to complete a bracket Sunday night. Utilizing Bet Labs' Bracket Analysis, here are the Cinderellas, sleepers and busts you need to know about before filling out your bracket.

Cinderellas

Does the glass slipper fit? These are double-digit seeds with the best chance to reach the Sweet 16:

Wichita State, the South’s No. 10 seed, has a 38.0% chance of reaching the Sweet 16. The Shockers might be the most under-seeded team in the tournament. Coach Gregg Marshall’s squad finished the year on a 15-game winning streak and easily won the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. According to kenpom.com the Shockers are the eighth-best team in the country. Don’t overlook Wichita State when filling out your bracket.

BRACKET TIPS: March Madness guide

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Other teams with similar chances include 11 seed Xavier (18.8%), 12 seed Middle Tennessee State (17.5%), 10 seed Oklahoma State (17.2%), 10 seed Marquette (14.0%), 11 seed Rhode Island (13.0%) and 10 seed VCU (9.6%).

Sleepers

If you are going to win your bracket pool, you need to pick teams others are avoiding.

Fifth-seeded Virginia has a chance to make a deep run. The Cavaliers lead the NCAA in defensive efficiency, allowing just 55.6 points per game. Virginia has a 13.8% chance of reaching the Final Four, the 10th-best chance of any team in the tournament.

Other teams seeded fifth or worse with the best chances of making the Final Four include: 10 seed Wichita State (12.5%), 5 seed Iowa State (10.6%), 6 seed SMU (9.7%) and 7 seed Saint Mary’s (7.5%).

Busts

Watch out for these teams, because they could bust your bracket. These are the teams seeded fourth or better with the worst odds to reach the Final Four:

Butler earned its highest berth ever as a 4 seed in the South. The Bulldogs were rewarded for twice beating Villanova and going 14-5 against teams in the tournament. However, the selection committee didn’t do Butler any favors when they placed the Bulldogs in the same region as North Carolina, Kentucky and UCLA. The Bulldogs have just an 8.0% chance of advancing out of the South.

Additional teams like Butler: 3 seed UCLA (9.0%), 2 seed Arizona (9.7%), 3 seed Florida State (10.4%), 4 seed Florida (11.9%) and 3 seed Baylor (12.1%).

First 1 Seed Out

Kansas is just 22.3% likely to make the Final Four, the lowest probability of any No. 1 seed. The Jayhawks lost in their first game of the Big 12 tournament and could be one of the first top seeds sent home.

Biggest Snubs

What teams did the committee leave out of the tournament that should have went dancing? These are the best teams according to kenpom's adjusted efficiency rankings not in March Madness: Clemson (No. 35 in kenpom’s adjusted efficiency rankings), TCU (No. 41), Indiana (No. 42), Texas Tech (No. 46), Utah (No. 47), Houston (No. 49) and Syracuse (No. 50, a Final Four participant last season).

Least Deserving

Did your favorite team get left on the bubble? Here are the squads that took their place. These are the worst at-large teams in tournament based on kenpom's adjusted efficiency rankings: USC (No. 61 in kenpom’s adjusted efficiency rankings), No. 59 Providence, No. 53 Seton Hall, No. 52 VCU, No. 45 Maryland, No. 44 Virginia Tech and No. 43 Michigan State.

Best Region

The West has the best chance to win it all. The region has a combined 31.7% chance to win the championship. The region’s No. 1 seed Gonzaga is the most likely team to cut down the nets in Phoenix (20.6% chance).

John Ewing is Director of Analytics forSports Insights.